Something Magical is About to Happen in Indo

Jason Lock

by on

Updated 40d ago

  • Three back-to-back swells set to light up everyone's favourite archipelago.
  • Could be AAA gold for much of Indo on the weekend.
  • First swells already forming down south, set to arc north east.
  • The great Indo revival is upon us! The world's surfers are descending on everyone's favourite archipelago and we'll bring you all the action, interviews and more as it happens. Check it here.

    That archipelago dotted between the Pacific and Indian Ocean is a surfing commodity like no other. Indonesia is where all eyes are laser-focussed during the southern hemi swell season (which is right now, FYI) and leading into this weekend, we've got back-to-back-to-back bombing swells en route, and they're sending people into a frenzy.

    It shouldn't be a surprise though, Indo's big season is the next four months or so, as winter storms march across the southern ocean storm track and right into Indo's many reefs. And what we're about to see fire up over the weekend is exactly that – and while it's still a way out yet, our LOTUS forecast model has very high confidence in this swell. That's the beauty of those Indo swells, they're kind of easy to see coming over all that ocean.

    Count 'em up! That's three back-to-back swells. This is the swell period chart, available right here for you and anyone else.

    Count 'em up! That's three back-to-back swells. This is the swell period chart, available right here for you and anyone else.

    The standouts? It's like a who's who of Indo lineup royalty; Kandui, maybe Hts, Greenbush, Nias, Ulus, though there's a fresh offshore wind accompanying the world's favourite racetrack. What we do know is; we're mobilising and will bring you all the action as these three swells rifle in.

    And what's causing this swell soaking? MSW forecaster Tony Butt has broken it down for us. “A low pressure system deepened east of the Kerguelen Islands (which are between South Africa and Australia, but down south, towards Antarctica) at the beginning of last week, with an area of strong southwest winds on its northwest flank. The system moved eastwards, creating a relatively short-lived pulse of swell, which is actually hitting Indonesia right now.

    "Wave heights on Saturday at exposed spots are expected to exceed six feet, and steadily decrease until around the middle of next week.” We'll be bringing you more about this, quite soon.

    See those islands down there? Almost slap bang in the middle of the screen with that middle pulse of swell goodness on it? Those are the Kerguelen Islands - with these swells set to catapult straight to Indo.

    See those islands down there? Almost slap bang in the middle of the screen with that middle pulse of swell goodness on it? Those are the Kerguelen Islands - with these swells set to catapult straight to Indo.

    For next week though? Tony weighs in: “There's a small but intense low developing in the mid-Indian Ocean, half way between South Africa and southwest Australia. This will produce a further pulse of swell, which reaches Indonesia late Wednesday and lasts until Friday, pushing wave heights at exposed spots back up to around five feet or so.

    “Then, a third storm, more powerful than the previous two, is already deepening south of South Africa, and is expected to reach full intensity south of the Kerguelen Islands late in the weekend. The winds on its northwest flank generate a third pulse of swell that is expected to reach Indonesia by Friday.

    “A smaller system then develops and arcs around the northwest flank of the main system, generating a large, moving area of storm-force winds and an even larger pulse, hard on the heels of the previous one. Both swells practically merge together as they reach the coast of Indo, with wave heights at exposed spots possibly hitting ten feet by next weekend,and July 2 and 3.”

    And that, ladies and gentleman, is when the magic happens.